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JOSH ROSENROTH

retired natural scientist
Articles Posted: 546  Links Seeded: 1554
Member Since: 3/2010  Last Seen: 5/19/2012

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Berlin's State Assembly to get a left of center SPD-Greens-Coalition with slim majority - 'renegade' Pirates' Party in parliament with 9 %

Sun Sep 18, 2011 2:13 PM EDT
world-news, germany, pirates, berlin, l, merkel, greens, spd, cdu, state-election, roesler, the-leftists, freedems, wowereit
By Josh Rosenroth

Bloc votes distribution in the Bundesrat 'Federal States legislative representation'
( Upper House of German Parliament )

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The leftwing red-red coalition of SPD and the "SED-PDS" successor party "The Leftist(s) - Die Linke(n)" didn't get the necessary mandate to renew the Berlin city state government (called 'The Senate').

According to first projections, the current results of the Berlin state assembly election showed losses for the SocialDems and their socialist junior partner. The conservative CDU of Chancellor Merkel's has gained slightly whereas Vice-Chancellor Roesler's FreeDems got heavily punished and relegated to 'splinter party' status with approx. 2 pc of the votes. Big winners are the Greens and the Pirates, a protest party movement.

Albeit possible, it seems unlikely that the Governing Mayor of Berlin, Klaus Wowereit, will be seeking a Red-Black senat of SocialDems and Conservatives with a broader majority.

With a new Red-Green coalition in Berlin's city state assembly, four Bundesrat ('upper house') bloc votes are going to stay in the 'anti-Merkel' pool of votes.

The disastrous defeat of Merkel's coalition partner FDP will probably initiate the beginning of the end of Germany's ConLib government.

The federal SocialDems are not inclined to assist Merkel in getting rid of Roesler by forming a transient grand coalition in order to cope with the current Euro crisis.

National elections to the lower house of parliament ('Bundestag') will have to be announced under new voting rules, being mandated by Germany's supreme court, the Federal Constitutional Court (FCC). 

If Merkel is forced to call new elections the SocialDems and Greens will very likely seek FCC's decision in terms of a 'fair' compensation in the case of 'overlapping' mandates which regularly occur when a party gains more direct seats than allocated by proportional distribution in a complicated two-tier voting system.    

Preliminary Results of Berlin's State Election (2011-2016)

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Josh Rosenroth

update

http://www.thelocal.de/politics/20110918-37665.html

(...) The dire Berlin result of the FDP, Merkel's junior coalition partners, could raise fears that the party could become more erratic and unpredictable than it already has been in recent months. (...)

    Reply#1 - Sun Sep 18, 2011 2:23 PM EDT
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